CPT Markets：European Central Bank Leaves Its Interest Rate Unchanged 欧洲央行维持利率不变

Marius Paun/文 | 英国伦敦 | 资深交易员

Holmes Chang/译| 2021年4月23日星期五

The US President Biden announced this week he wants to almost double capital gains tax from 20% currently to 39.6% for those earning more than $1 million. The proposal is also for the top marginal income tax rate to increase from 37% to 39.6%. The aim is to pay for childcare and education. At the same time speculation has built that he is now ready to accept a 25% corporate tax rate (up from 21%) instead of 28% as even some Democratic senators are concerned with the initial proposed hike.

本周美国总统拜登宣布，希望针对收入超过100万美元的高所得国人将征收资本利得税从原本的20％增加到39.6％。此项计划同时还包含将最高边际所得税税率从37％提高到39.6％，目的是为了能够支付儿童照顾和教育费用。与此同时，外界猜测拜登总统现在正准备接受25％的公司税率（从21％上调至28％），如同先前民主党参议员所提及到的最初计划。

To counter this, the US Senate Republicans offered an alternative to the $2.2 trillion stimulus package that Biden wants to implement. They are ready to support an infrastructure bill of around $800 billion with little or no tax hikes apparently. The reactions in the markets were rather mixed, the US indices tanked yesterday, but going into the weekend it seems the buyers are back in charge.

针对上述事局，美国参议院共和党人提出另一项与拜登希望实施2.2万亿美元刺激法案的替代方案，也就是共和党人预计将支持大约8000亿美元的基建法案，此项法案只需增加小幅税额或甚至不须加税。市场的反应参差不齐，美国指数在4月22日时下跌，不过买家似乎在进入周末时重振旗鼓。

As widely expected, the European Central Bank‘s kept its benchmark interest rate on hold during its April monetary policy meeting. President Christine Lagarde said in her opening statement that ’vaccine underpins expectations of a firm rebound in economic activity. She reaffirmed the size of PEPP program of 1.85 trillion euro, QE purchases to continue at monthly pace of 20 billion euro and that the central bank is ready to adjust all of its tools if needed. The EURUSD broke above 1.20 this week.

正如大众普遍预期，欧洲央行在4月份的货币政策会议期间维持基准利率不变。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德（Christine Lagarde）在开幕发表演说中表示，疫苗支撑了国内民众对经济活动强劲反弹的预期。她重申了PEPP计划的规模1.85万亿欧元，量化宽松计划的购买规模，即将持续以每月200亿欧元的速度增长，并且央行已准备好在需要时调整其所有应对工具。欧元兑美元当周突破1.20。

In the UK, Bank of England announced a joint creation with the UK Treasury of a central bank digital currency task force, in line with many other central banks around the world. All nice and dandy but that digital currency will remain centralised….. thought one of the main reasons for cryptocurrency adoption is being decentralised.

在英国，英格兰银行宣布与英国财政部联合成立一个中央银行数字货币特勤组，与世界诸多其他中央银行与肩并行。这一切都会顺利进行，但数字货币仍保持中心化……我们认为采用加密货币的先决原因之一是为了去中心化。

We learnt that OPEC+ is planning to downgrade their April 28 meeting to a monitoring meeting instead. They had already pre-committed to the next months output so are probably happy to play the waiting game before taking action again. Meanwhile the US oil prices dropped this week to a low of $60.59 before rebounding to $61.7 on Friday afternoon.

我们得知到石油输出国组织与伙伴国(OPEC+)计划将其4月28日的会议改为视频会议。日前他们已经预先承诺了下个月的输出量，因此当前同盟国愿意在采取行动前指日可待。同一时间，美国石油价格当周跌至60.59美元的低点，然后在4月23日下午反弹至61.7美元。

Bitcoin saw a massive sell-off last weekend, the biggest drop in 2 months. One of the reasons behind it might have been a blackout in China‘s Xinjiang region which apparently is responsible for a significant chunk of bitcoin mining. The incident saw an almost 50% decline in bitcoin’s hash rate – a rate which measures the processing power used to mine bitcoin and process transactions.

上周末，比特币遭到大规模抛售，这是两个月来最大的跌幅。此一造成这种情况的原因之一可能是中国新疆地区的停电，这显然是导致大量比特币开采的原因。该事件使比特币的算力哈希率下降了近50％- 算力哈希率用来衡量用于挖掘比特币和网络处理的交易能力。

#USD #EUR #GBP #oil #Cryptocurrency #Bitcoin#Forex #Market #Report

#CentralBank #OPEC+

#double capital gains tax #资本利得税税率

#marginal income tax rate #高边际所得税税率

#infrastructure bill #基建法案

#PEPP #疫情紧急购债计划

#interestrate #利率

#hashrate #算力#哈希率